Inevitably there was disappointment
this week over the release of details of the iPad. This is standard
procedure for Apple launch announcements – frenzied speculation,
incredible disappointment, good sales. Don't buy it though, never buy
the first generation of any Apple product. You pay the Mac tax plus
the early adopter tax for a substandard product.
That's another story though, what I
meant to write about is the discussion around why Adobe Flash is
still not on the Apple mobile products, when clearly it could be. On
the face of it, it's a no-brainer, you can't watch YouTube, or
iPlayer, or the news on any of the main sites or any of the other
millions of things you do on the internet all the time on your
desktop.
It's simple.
Flash would rip the heart out of the
apps marketplace. Apple makes a fortune by completely controlling the
experience you get on your iPhone. The apps are actually tiny
up-sells each time you want access to additional functionality.
Remember, apps are the internet for
idiots. Many of the things you can do with an app, are actually not
very difficult web applications, but the asence of certain technology
(flash, javascript, in-browser java) has meant that up til recently,
you needed to create a separate standalone mobile app to run on the
mobile device.
If you could run a flash app on a
web-page, full screen and have it work on any phone with flash on it
there would be no further reason to ever download an app again. Given
the Apple have made untold millions on the 3 billion or so apps that
have been downloaded, they have a substantial disincentive to let
Flash run on their devices. The other manufacturers are probably
following the same logic.
True enough, the latest release of
Abobe Creative Suite has an app development toolkit, so you can
output flash applications as mobile apps, but much of the web is
enabled by flash players.
If I were Nokia or Sony Ericsson right
now, I would be pushing through Flash enabled phones as fast as my
little workers could pack them into boxes. Free apps for everyone
would be a sure-fire way of reducing the Apple appeal just a little.
If I were Apple, I would be trying to
come to some sort of arrangement with Adobe to enable some sort of
crippled version of their software to run on the phone. Something
that would allow web users to say watch videos, but not to do
complicated functionality.
It will be interesting to see it
develop. Apple has a strong historical dislike for open systems, and
has made up for it with a very compelling user experience and design
aesthetic. Flash has been instrumental in the development of the
internet over the past 10 years and its owner Adobe is going to
strongly push for it to remain that way. A clash of civilizations is
approaching.
Update: since writing this last night, Robert Scoble has written an interesting piece on whether Flash is doomed or not. Worth a read